EFEHR Risk MapsThis web viewer provides a map of the European Seismic Risk Index calculated using the European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20), developed within the scope of the European Horizon 2020 project SERA. More information including documentation of this model is provided here.
The European Seismic Risk Index is calculated by dividing the average annual loss by the GDP per capita. Two types of loss are considered: economic loss (in Euros) and loss of life. The resulting economic risk index and loss of life risk index are then normalised using min-max normalisation. Given that both indices are heavily skewed by the extreme range of population and/or property value densities between urban and rural communities, a cube root transformation is applied before min-max normalisation.
The average of the two indices is then found, leading to a final seismic risk index that varies from 0 to 1, and which has been mapped to the following qualitative categories of risk: very low, low, moderate, high, very high. The seismic risk index has then been disaggregated to a hexagonal grid, with a height of 0.17 decimal degrees, using a GHS POP 2019 spatial raster dataset of population, and the values have then be spatially smoothed (with a kernel size of 0.2 degrees).
The NCEI/WDS Global Significant Earthquake Database (http://doi.org/10.7289/V5TD9V7K, accessed 16/09/2020) can also be added as an additional layer to the map.
The OpenQuake-engine, an open-source seismic hazard and risk calculation software supported by the GEM Foundation, was used to calculate the risk metrics of ESRM20.
H. Crowley, J. Dabbeek, V. Despotaki, D. Rodrigues, L. Martins, V. Silva, X. Romão, N. Pereira, G. Weatherill, L. Danciu (2022) European Seismic Risk Index Viewer (v1.0), DOI: 10.7414/EUC-ESRM20-RISK-INDEX-VIEWER
This work is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0): https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
economic loss: losses due to direct damage caused by earthquake ground shaking in the residential, commercial and industrial building stock, considering structural and non-structural components and building contents
average annual economic loss: the long-term mean economic loss value per year due to earthquake ground shaking
average annual loss of life: the long-term mean number of fatalities due to earthquake ground shaking per year
seismic risk index: a comparative index that has been calculated by dividing the average annual losses from the 2020 European Seismic Risk Model by the GDP per capita.
GDP: Gross Domestic Product
This web viewer contains results from the European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20). The findings, comments, statements or recommendations expressed herein are exclusively of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the institutions listed here: EUCENTRE Foundation, GEM Foundation, University of Porto, GFZ Potsdam, ETH Zurich, the EFEHR Consortium or the European Union. The authors of ESRM20 have tried to make the information in this product as accurate as possible. However, they do not guarantee that the information herein is totally accurate or complete. Therefore, you should not solely rely on this information when making a commercial decision. Users of information provided herein assume all liability arising from such use. While undertaking to provide practical and accurate information, the authors assume no liability for, nor express or imply any warranty with regard to the information contained hereafter.